Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000396 0.000445 0.000498 0.000559 0.000630 0.000707 0.000800
2024-12-15 0.000310 0.000380 0.000464 0.000571 0.000706 0.000870 0.001087
2024-12-22 0.000244 0.000319 0.000414 0.000546 0.000724 0.000958 0.001293
2024-12-29 0.000210 0.000289 0.000394 0.000549 0.000772 0.001084 0.001563
2025-01-05 0.000192 0.000275 0.000393 0.000574 0.000850 0.001259 0.001926
2025-01-12 0.000167 0.000249 0.000369 0.000562 0.000869 0.001349 0.002172
2025-01-19 0.000144 0.000221 0.000339 0.000534 0.000859 0.001388 0.002340
2025-01-26 0.000132 0.000209 0.000331 0.000541 0.000903 0.001520 0.002683
2025-02-02 0.000126 0.000206 0.000335 0.000567 0.000983 0.001721 0.003182
2025-02-09 0.000115 0.000192 0.000321 0.000559 0.001001 0.001815 0.003492
2025-02-16 0.000106 0.000183 0.000314 0.000563 0.001040 0.001952 0.003909
2025-02-23 0.000098 0.000172 0.000302 0.000557 0.001061 0.002055 0.004273
2025-03-02 0.000092 0.000166 0.000299 0.000567 0.001116 0.002238 0.004850
2025-03-09 0.000086 0.000159 0.000294 0.000573 0.001162 0.002414 0.005449
2025-03-16 0.000077 0.000145 0.000273 0.000546 0.001139 0.002436 0.005697
2025-03-23 0.000073 0.000139 0.000268 0.000549 0.001179 0.002604 0.006329
2025-03-30 0.000071 0.000138 0.000273 0.000574 0.001272 0.002907 0.007367
2025-04-06 0.000065 0.000130 0.000261 0.000562 0.001277 0.003005 0.007882
2025-04-13 0.000059 0.000119 0.000243 0.000534 0.001242 0.002996 0.008106
2025-04-20 0.000056 0.000115 0.000241 0.000541 0.001291 0.003209 0.009005
2025-04-27 0.000055 0.000115 0.000246 0.000567 0.001393 0.003576 0.010444
2025-05-04 0.000051 0.000110 0.000238 0.000559 0.001405 0.003702 0.011172
2025-05-11 0.000049 0.000106 0.000234 0.000563 0.001448 0.003925 0.012261